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Two-Stage Robust Expansion Planning of Transmission Network Considering Uncertainty of Offshore Wind Power
TIAN Shuxin, HAN Xue, FU Yang, SU Xiangjing, LI Zhenkun
Journal of Shanghai Jiao Tong University    2024, 58 (9): 1400-1409.   DOI: 10.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2023.028
Abstract   (1269 HTML6 PDF(pc) (1718KB)(47)  

The complex and multiple uncertainties of offshore wind power pose great challenges to the safety and robustness of transmission grid structures. In order to improve the adaptability of grid structure to offshore wind power, a robust expansion planning method based on Vague soft set is proposed. First, Monte Carlo simulation is employed to construct the offshore wind Vague scenarios, which transform multiple comprehensive uncertainties of offshore wind power into uncertain parameter sets from true membership function, pseudo-membership function, and unknown information measure based on the Vague soft set theory. Then, a two-stage robust expansion planning model based on Vague scenario set is established for transmission network with offshore wind power penetration. The minimum total investment cost of offshore and onshore line and network loss is taken as the objective function in the first stage, while the minimum objectives of wind abandonment and cutting load for offshore wind power are proposed with the alternating current power flow constraint based on second-order cone relaxation in the second stage. Based on the expected values of wind abandonment and cutting load returned by the second stage model, the operation variables of the first stage model are modified to ultimately obtain the iterative transmission network robust planning scheme. Finally, the Gurobi mathematical optimization engine is used to analyze the Garver 6-node system and IEEE 39-node system to verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed robust expansion planning method.


Fig.6 Planning scheme of improved IEEE 39-node system in Scenario 4
Extracts from the Article
由表2可知,在改进的IEEE 39节点系统中,输电网鲁棒扩展规划模型相较于常规扩展规划模型Vague典型场景下海陆线路投建费用增加 0.644 8亿元,Vague极限场景下线路投资成本增加 0.605 3亿元.但是同样因为大幅降低海上弃风、切负荷量,在Vague典型场景下输电网鲁棒扩展规划方案的总成本比常规扩展规划模型的总成本降低6.24亿元,Vague极限场景下降低29.01亿元.可以看出,由于鲁棒规划模型规划线路多于常规输电网规划模型的投建线路,海陆投建成本有所上升,但综合考虑海上弃风和弃负荷成本后,总成本却有所减小.对应场景4中Vague极限不确定性集合下改进IEEE 39节点系统的输电网鲁棒规划方案如图6所示.图中:G表示发电机.
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