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Two-Stage Robust Expansion Planning of Transmission Network Considering Uncertainty of Offshore Wind Power
TIAN Shuxin, HAN Xue, FU Yang, SU Xiangjing, LI Zhenkun
Journal of Shanghai Jiao Tong University    2024, 58 (9): 1400-1409.   DOI: 10.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2023.028
Abstract   (1269 HTML6 PDF(pc) (1718KB)(47)  

The complex and multiple uncertainties of offshore wind power pose great challenges to the safety and robustness of transmission grid structures. In order to improve the adaptability of grid structure to offshore wind power, a robust expansion planning method based on Vague soft set is proposed. First, Monte Carlo simulation is employed to construct the offshore wind Vague scenarios, which transform multiple comprehensive uncertainties of offshore wind power into uncertain parameter sets from true membership function, pseudo-membership function, and unknown information measure based on the Vague soft set theory. Then, a two-stage robust expansion planning model based on Vague scenario set is established for transmission network with offshore wind power penetration. The minimum total investment cost of offshore and onshore line and network loss is taken as the objective function in the first stage, while the minimum objectives of wind abandonment and cutting load for offshore wind power are proposed with the alternating current power flow constraint based on second-order cone relaxation in the second stage. Based on the expected values of wind abandonment and cutting load returned by the second stage model, the operation variables of the first stage model are modified to ultimately obtain the iterative transmission network robust planning scheme. Finally, the Gurobi mathematical optimization engine is used to analyze the Garver 6-node system and IEEE 39-node system to verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed robust expansion planning method.


Fig.5 Planning scheme of improved Garver 6 node in Scenario 4
Extracts from the Article
基于以上场景进行计算,并根据海陆线路投资成本、海上风电弃风率、线路切负荷率以及综合运行成本等指标对比分析系统规划结果.由于传统Garver 6节点系统与IEEE 39节点系统均不包含海上风电机组,为了验证所提方案,在改进 Garver 6节点系统中节点6配置500和400 MW的海上风电机组;在改进IEEE 39节点系统中节点41、42分别新增400和500 MW的海上风电机组.线路造价为7.96万元/km,海底电缆造价为400万元/km,资金折现系数为10%,线路切负荷成本系数为 2.79万元/(MW·h),海上弃风成本系数为 0.069万元/(MW·h).结合式(6)~(35)中的海上风电接入下输电网鲁棒扩展规划模型,对改进的Garver 6节点系统进行求解,得到的线路扩展规划结果如表1所示.表1中Vague极限是指基于Vague软集的不确定性边界值,典型随机场景为Vague场景集内部的典型随机场景,总成本为综合考虑海陆线路投建费用与弃风、切负荷惩罚费用之后的总费用.根据扩展规划方案可知,输电网鲁棒扩展规划模型相较于常规扩展规划模型典型场景下线路投建费用增加 0.309 7亿元、Vague极限场景下线路投建费用增加 0.308 1亿元.然而由于鲁棒规划方案在海上风电弃风、切负荷量方面的优化,使得其总成本在Vague典型场景与Vague极限场景下均反而低于常规输电网扩展规划模型的总成本,分别降低6.2亿元和15.18亿元.对应场景4中Vague极限不确定性集合下改进Garver 6节点系统的输电网鲁棒规划方案如图5所示.
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