Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University ›› 2014, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (05): 702-706.

• General Industrial Technology • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Lifetime Prediction Method for Missile Electrical Connector Synthesizing Degradation Data and Lifetime Data

WANG Haoweia,XU Tingxuea,ZHOU Weib
  

  1. (a. Department of Ordnance Science and Technology, Yantai 264001, Shandong, China; b. Qingdao Campus, Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University, Qingdao 266000, Shandong, China)
  • Received:2013-06-13

Abstract:

To improve the prediction accuracy of the lifetime of a certain type of missile connector, a prediction method synthesizing degradation data and lifetime data was proposed. By modeling the degradation data with Wiener process, modeling a small amount of lifetime data with inverse Gaussian distribution, establishing the reaction rate model with the generalized Eyring model, a comprehensive reliability model was established. Furthermore, the point estimates of the model parameters were obtained through the Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation method, and the interval estimates were obtained through a bootstrap method. By comparing the prediction results, it was concluded that the approach synthesizing degradation data and lifetime data could improve the prediction accuracy.
Key words:

Key words: electrical connector, lifetime prediction, double-stress accelerated degradation test, Wiener process

CLC Number: