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DENG Shen a,b,YANG Chao-jun b
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Abstract: This paper discussed the relationship between fluctuations of stock & real estate prices and business cycles with model deduction and empirical evidence. A unite model analysing their relationship was found.The findings reveal that stock prices are the lead indicator of macroeconomy; there exists positive relationship between real estate prices and GDP, interest rates & CPI; the fluctuations of real estate prices are consistent with business cycles; and the fluctuations of stock prices greatly lead that of real estate prices.
CLC Number:
F 015
DENG Shen a,b,YANG Chao-jun b. The Relationship between Fluctuations of Stock & Real Estate Prices and Business Cycles[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University.
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https://xuebao.sjtu.edu.cn/EN/Y2008/V42/I11/1797