计及产消者的激励型需求侧响应对配电网可靠性影响

doi:10.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2024.028

上海交通大学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 60 ›› Issue (1): 74-86.doi: 10.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2024.028

• 新型电力系统与综合能源 • 上一篇下一篇

计及产消者的激励型需求侧响应对配电网可靠性影响

赵耀¹, 于文强¹, 李东东¹(), 高少炜¹, 王岩²

¹ 上海电力大学电气工程学院, 上海 200090
² 国网安徽省电力有限公司宁国市供电公司, 安徽宣城 242300

收稿日期:2024-01-19 修回日期:2024-04-15 接受日期:2024-05-23 出版日期:2026-01-28 发布日期:2026-01-27
通讯作者: 李东东 E-mail:shiepldd@163.com.
作者简介:赵耀(1987—),副教授,从事配电网态势感知等相关研究.
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(52377111);上海市青年科技启明星计划(21QC1400200);上海市自然科学基金(21ZR1425400)

Influence of Incentive-Based Demand-Side Response on Distribution Network Reliability Considering Prosumers

ZHAO Yao¹, YU Wenqiang¹, LI Dongdong¹(), GAO Shaowei¹, WANG Yan²

¹ School of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai University of Electric Power, Shanghai 200090, China
² Ningguo City Power Supply Company of State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co., Ltd., Xuancheng 242300, Anhui, China

Received:2024-01-19 Revised:2024-04-15 Accepted:2024-05-23 Online:2026-01-28 Published:2026-01-27
Contact: LI Dongdong E-mail:shiepldd@163.com.

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

随着用户中产消者占比上升,用户参与需求侧响应不再局限于单向购电模式,且产消者向配电网输送的电能具有间歇性等特点,给配电网可靠性及其评估带来新挑战.基于此,提出计及产消者的激励型需求侧响应下配电网可靠性评估方法.首先,利用双层优化构建普通用户和产消者共存的用户最大收益模型,并分析该模型对可靠性评估的影响;然后,提出计及配电网需求侧响应满意度(SDSR)的评估指标与计及产消者相对波动率(PRV)的可靠性评估指标,并介绍使用方法;最后,基于马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗法利用指标SDSR和指标PRV对IEEE RBTS Bus6模型进行可靠性评估.算例结果表明,产消者在夏季能发挥提升可靠性的最大效用,但同时也存在最突出的潜在波动风险.

关键词: 激励型需求侧响应, 配电网可靠性, 产消者, 马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗法

Abstract:

With the increasing proportion of prosumers, user participation in demand-side response is no longer limited to the unidirectional power purchase mode, and the power delivered by prosumers to the distribution system is intermittent, which brings new challenges to the reliability and evaluation of the distribution network. In response, an incentive-based demand-side response (IBDR) including prosumers reliability evaluation method is proposed for distribution network in this paper. First, a bi-level optimization model is developed to represent the maximum user benefit, accounting for the coexistence of common users and prosumers, and the influence of this model on reliability evaluation is analyzed. Then, two indices, the satisfaction with demand-side response(SDSR) and the prosumer relative volatility(PRV), are introduced, which captures the reliability in evaluation. Finally, the reliability of the IEEE RBTS Bus6 model is evaluated using SDSR and PRV based on the Markov chain Monte Carlo. The results of the case study show that prosumers maximize the reliability benefits in summer, but also pose the highest risk of potential volatility.

Key words: incentive-based demand-side response (IBDR), distribution network reliability, prosumer, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)

中图分类号:

TM711

赵耀, 于文强, 李东东, 高少炜, 王岩. 计及产消者的激励型需求侧响应对配电网可靠性影响[J]. 上海交通大学学报, 2026, 60(1): 74-86.

ZHAO Yao, YU Wenqiang, LI Dongdong, GAO Shaowei, WANG Yan. Influence of Incentive-Based Demand-Side Response on Distribution Network Reliability Considering Prosumers[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 2026, 60(1): 74-86.

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标度	含义
1	表示两个元素相比,具有同样的重要性
3	表示两个元素相比,前者比后者稍微重要
5	表示两个元素相比,前者比后者明显重要
7	表示两个元素相比,前者比后者强烈重要
9	表示两个元素相比,前者比后者极其重要
2,4,6,8	表示上述相邻判断的中间值
$\frac{1}{9}$~1	表示相应两个因素交换次序比较的重要性

方法	变压器故障率× 10⁷/(次·h^-1)	架空线路故障率× 10⁷/(h·km)	断路器故障率× 10⁷/(次·h^-1)	隔离开关故障率× 10⁷/(次·h^-1)	电缆故障率× 10⁶/(次·h^-1)	运行时间/s	配电网供电可靠率/%
优化MCMC法	3.9059	3.6319	7.5986	6	1.011	317	99.9941
现有MCMC法	3.9059	3.6319	7.5985	6	1.011	934	99.9927

典型日名称	不合理区域时刻
夏季典型日(2015-07-01)	6:00、7:00、8:00、9:00、15:00、 16:00、17:00、18:00
秋季典型日(2015-10-29)	5:00、10:00、14:00
冬季典型日(2015-01-15)	14:00、19:00

指标名称	可靠性参数
指标名称	故障率	停运持续时间	年不可用率
SDSR		√	√
PRV		√
SAIFI	√
CAIFI	√
SAIDI			√
CAIDI			√
AENS		√
ENS		√

计及产消者的激励型需求侧响应对配电网可靠性影响

Influence of Incentive-Based Demand-Side Response on Distribution Network Reliability Considering Prosumers

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