Robust Charging Demand Prediction and Charging Network Planning for Heterogeneous Behavior of Electric Vehicles

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  • (1. Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China; 2. Olin Business School, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO 63130, USA; 3. Urban Mobility Institute, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China; 4. Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China; 5. College of Transportation Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China)

Received date: 2021-12-27

  Online published: 2023-02-10

Abstract

This study addresses a new charging station network planning problem for smart connected electric vehicles. We embed a charging station choice model into a charging network planning model that explicitly considers the heterogeneity of the charging behavior in a data-driven manner. To cope with the deficiencies from a small size and sparse behavioral data, we propose a robust charging demand prediction method that can significantly reduce the impact of sample errors and missing data. On the basis of these two building blocks, we form and solve a new optimal charging station location and capacity problem by minimizing the construction and charging costs while considering the charging service level, construction budget, and limit to the number of chargers. We use a case study of planning charging stations in Shanghai to validate our contributions and provide managerial insight in this area.

Cite this article

ZHANG Yilun1‡ (张轶伦), XU Sikun2‡ (徐思坤), XU Jie1 (徐 捷), ZENG Xueqi3 (曾学奇), LI Zheng4 (李 铮), XIE Chi5∗ (谢 驰) . Robust Charging Demand Prediction and Charging Network Planning for Heterogeneous Behavior of Electric Vehicles[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University(Science), 2023 , 28(1) : 136 -149 . DOI: 10.1007/s12204-023-2576-0

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