Abstract: The data forecasting of plant equipment plays an important role in assurance of the safe and reliable operation of the plant equipment. Thus, it is necessary to improve the accuracy of data forecasting of the equipment. A new two-factor fuzzy time series algorithm is proposed to forecast the data of the plant equipment. This method not only overcomes the limitations of one factor fuzzy time series algorithm, but also overcomes the drawbacks of traditional two-factor fuzzy time series algorithm. The collected data is used in the power plant to conduct experiments, where the metrics is Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results show that this method is superior to the existing two-factor fuzzy time series algorithms, and yields good results in the equipment prediction.

Key words: equipment prediction| fuzzy time series| two-factor fuzzy time series

摘要： The data forecasting of plant equipment plays an important role in assurance of the safe and reliable operation of the plant equipment. Thus, it is necessary to improve the accuracy of data forecasting of the equipment. A new two-factor fuzzy time series algorithm is proposed to forecast the data of the plant equipment. This method not only overcomes the limitations of one factor fuzzy time series algorithm, but also overcomes the drawbacks of traditional two-factor fuzzy time series algorithm. The collected data is used in the power plant to conduct experiments, where the metrics is Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results show that this method is superior to the existing two-factor fuzzy time series algorithms, and yields good results in the equipment prediction.

关键词: equipment prediction| fuzzy time series| two-factor fuzzy time series