A new joint distribution model based on a
conditional probability approach accurately predicts the joint distribution of
wave heights and periods for short-term sea states. In this model, the wave
height distribution follows a two-parameter Weibull distribution, and the
conditional period distribution is modeled using a log-normal distribution. To
account for the effects of wave spectral shape, the Wallops spectrum with a
broad spectral width is used, and the model parameters are derived. Simulations
using both the Wallops spectrum and measured wave spectra as target spectra are
conducted to obtain the joint distribution of wave heights and periods. Simulated
data serve as the benchmark, and the proposed model is compared with five
commonly used joint distribution models. The results show that the new model
closely matches the simulated data for both Wallops and measured spectra, while
the other models only align well with simulated data in specific cases.
Additionally, wave height and period distributions are analyzed, and the sources
of prediction errors are discussed. The new model includes an explicit
closed-form expression, making it suitable for non-Gaussian wave conditions.
MA Yongliang 1, CHEN Wei 1, HAN Chaoshuai 2, ZHANG Yingming 1, CHEN Xiaokang 1
. Joint
Distribution of Wave Heights and Periods for Short-Term Sea States Based on the
Wallops Spectrum[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 0
: 1
.
DOI: 10.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2024.477