A remaining useful life prediction method based on dual attention and selective ensemble

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  • 1. School of Mechanical Engineering, State Key Laboratory of Mechanical System and Vibration, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China; 2. Fraunhofer Project Center for Smart Manufacturing at Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 201306, China;3. The 726 Research Institute, China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, Shanghai 201108, China

Online published: 2025-03-25

Abstract

Accurately predicting remaining useful life (RUL) is crucial for ensuring the stable and reliable operation of large complex equipment. To enhance prediction accuracy while improving model robustness and generalization, a method based on dual-attention temporal convolutional networks and selective particle swarm optimization ensemble is proposed. Firstly, the dual-attention temporal convolutional networks are employed to explore the internal correlations between multi-category input features and different time steps in monitoring data, enhancing degradation information from both feature and temporal dimensions. Subsequently, the selective particle swarm optimization ensemble algorithm prunes underperforming base models at various time scales, autonomously generating an optimal subset of models and assigning optimal weights for weighted output predictions. The proposed method has been validated on a dataset of aviation turbofan engine degradation, demonstrating a 13.9% improvement in prediction accuracy compared to other methods.

Cite this article

FAN Yijing1, 2, XIA Tangbin1, 2 +, HAN Dongyang3, QI Linlong1, 2, WANG Hao1, 2, XI Lifeng1 . A remaining useful life prediction method based on dual attention and selective ensemble[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 0 : 1 . DOI: 10.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2024.279

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