Journal of Shanghai Jiao Tong University

Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University >

2021 , Vol. 55 >Issue 12: 1499 - 1509

DOI: https://doi.org/10.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2021.272

Development Pathway of China’s Clean Electricity Under Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals

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  • State Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region of China, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, China

Received date: 2021-07-30

  Online published: 2021-12-30

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Abstract

Nowadays, the third energy revolution has taken place. Many developed countries have formulated clean energy development strategies and announced the time for phasing out thermal and nuclear power to reduce carbon emissions. Meanwhile, China has made a commitment to the world that the carbon emissions of China will peak before 2030, and the carbon neutrality will be achieved before 2060. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the development pathway of clean electricity of China. The reserves and characteristics of clean energy such as hydro, wind, and solar in China are analyzed. The medium and long-term power demand of China is projected, and the power system structure in 2030 and 2050 are respectively estimated based on the electric power and energy balance equations. In addition, the trend of carbon emissions is also analyzed. Some suggestions are proposed to guide the development of China’s clean electricity. The results indicate that the “carbon peaking” of China’s power system would arrive in 2027, and the clean electricity of China is projected to exceed 50% of the total energy production in 2030. Thermal and nuclear power can be replaced by clean electricity such as hydro, wind, and solar energy in 2050, the power industry will achieve “zero CO2 emission”, and the transformation of the green power system will be achieved in response to carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.

Key words： clean electricity; carbon emission; hydro-wind-photovoltaic-storage complementary operation; electric power and energy balance; development strategy

Cite this article

HUANG Qiang, GUO Yi, JIANG Jianhua, MING Bo . Development Pathway of China’s Clean Electricity Under Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 2021 , 55(12) : 1499 -1509 . DOI: 10.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2021.272

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