基于Bass模型的我国大学技术创新扩散实证分析

上海交通大学学报（自然版） ›› 2013, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (07): 1164-1168.

• 其他 • 上一篇

基于Bass模型的我国大学技术创新扩散实证分析

黄海洋a,b，王晴c，陈继祥b

（上海交通大学 a．改革与发展研究室； b．安泰经济与管理学院； c．数学系，上海 200240）

收稿日期:2012-09-25 出版日期:2013-07-30 发布日期:2013-07-30
基金资助:
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目（09YJCZH076）

An Empirical Analysis of Technology Innovation Diffusion in Chinese Universities Based on Bass Model

HUANG Haiyanga,b,WANG Qingc，CHEN Jixiangb

（a.Research Office of Reform and Development; b.Antai College of Economics and Management; c.Department of Mathematics, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200240, China）

Received:2012-09-25 Online:2013-07-30 Published:2013-07-30

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

在研究分析创新扩散模型中最具代表性的Bass模型的基础上，结合大学技术创新扩散的特点，把重复购买作为变量建立了适用于大学技术创新扩散的改进模型.以我国大学技术成果转让收入作为样本数据进行回归分析，得出大学技术创新扩散的方程式，并进行前瞻性的预测分析.

关键词: 技术创新扩散, 扩散模型, Bass模型, 实证分析

Abstract:

Based on the analysis of the Bass model which is the most representative of innovation diffusion models, and the characteristics of technology innovation diffusion of universities, this paper has established a improved model for the technology innovation diffusion in universities taking repeated purchase as an variable. Based on the regression analysis of the income of technology transfer in Chinese universities, an equation for technology innovation diffusion in universities is obtained, and a forwardlooking predictive analysis is given.

Key words: technology innovation diffusion, diffusion models, Bass model, empirical analysis

中图分类号:

F 204

黄海洋a,b，王晴c，陈继祥b. 基于Bass模型的我国大学技术创新扩散实证分析[J]. 上海交通大学学报（自然版）, 2013, 47(07): 1164-1168.

HUANG Haiyanga,b,WANG Qingc，CHEN Jixiangb. An Empirical Analysis of Technology Innovation Diffusion in Chinese Universities Based on Bass Model[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 2013, 47(07): 1164-1168.

参考文献

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基于Bass模型的我国大学技术创新扩散实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of Technology Innovation Diffusion in Chinese Universities Based on Bass Model

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