上海交通大学学报(英文版) ›› 2016, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (2): 225-233.doi: 10.1007/s12204-016-1717-0

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Research on Risks of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Online Confirming Storage Based on Evolutionary Game Theory and Subjective Bayesian Method

ZHANG Cheng (张 诚)   

  1. (Finance School, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China; Management School, Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang 441053, Hubei, China)
  • 出版日期:2016-04-15 发布日期:2016-04-26
  • 通讯作者: ZHANG Cheng (张 诚) E-mail:johncheng16@126.com

Research on Risks of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Online Confirming Storage Based on Evolutionary Game Theory and Subjective Bayesian Method

ZHANG Cheng (张 诚)   

  1. (Finance School, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China; Management School, Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang 441053, Hubei, China)
  • Online:2016-04-15 Published:2016-04-26
  • Contact: ZHANG Cheng (张 诚) E-mail:johncheng16@126.com

摘要: Online confirming storage of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) is a financial innovative product designed specially by China’s commercial banks to deal with the “Macmillan gap”. Targeting at this new product, and based on the analysis of its application process and mode, this paper first establishes the multi-game evolution model, works out the equilibrium, as well as tests the stability of the equilibrium point. Combined with the characteristics of the confirming storage, it puts forward a subjective Bayesian method, which is an information iteration one mostly adopted under the non-symmetric information circumstances. Finally, a system simulation case study is utilized to test the validity and practicability of the method.

关键词: evolutionary game, social network, confirming storage, system simulation

Abstract: Online confirming storage of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) is a financial innovative product designed specially by China’s commercial banks to deal with the “Macmillan gap”. Targeting at this new product, and based on the analysis of its application process and mode, this paper first establishes the multi-game evolution model, works out the equilibrium, as well as tests the stability of the equilibrium point. Combined with the characteristics of the confirming storage, it puts forward a subjective Bayesian method, which is an information iteration one mostly adopted under the non-symmetric information circumstances. Finally, a system simulation case study is utilized to test the validity and practicability of the method.

Key words: evolutionary game, social network, confirming storage, system simulation

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