基于CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM和SVR的光伏功率短期区间预测
李芬, 孙凌, 王亚维, 屈爱芳, 梅念, 赵晋斌

Short-Term Interval Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Based on CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM and SVR
LI Fen, SUN Ling, WANG Yawei, QU Aifang, MEI Nian, ZHAO Jinbin
表7 区间预测结果性能对比
Tab.7 Comparison of interval prediction performance
天气 Johnson变换-正态分布 正态分布 logistic分布 KDE
QPICP QPINAW QPICP QPINAW QPICP QPINAW QPICP QPINAW
晴天 1.0000 0.1307 0.9697 0.2022 1.0000 0.2234 1.0000 0.1988
转折 0.9697 0.2393 0.9394 0.3375 0.9394 0.3257 0.9697 0.3028
阴雨 0.9394 0.2238 0.8788 0.3452 0.9091 0.3532 0.9394 0.2961