基于CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM和SVR的光伏功率短期区间预测
李芬, 孙凌, 王亚维, 屈爱芳, 梅念, 赵晋斌

Short-Term Interval Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Based on CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM and SVR
LI Fen, SUN Ling, WANG Yawei, QU Aifang, MEI Nian, ZHAO Jinbin
表6 不同置信水平下区间预测性能
Tab.6 Interval prediction performance at different confidence coefficients
置信
水平/
%
晴天 转折 阴雨
QPICP QPINAW QPICP QPINAW QPICP QPINAW
95 1.0000 0.1307 0.9697 0.2393 0.9394 0.2238
80 0.9394 0.0984 0.9394 0.1876 0.9091 0.1733
60 0.8485 0.0703 0.8182 0.1382 0.6970 0.1282
40 0.6364 0.0460 0.6364 0.0923 0.4848 0.0864