基于CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM和SVR的光伏功率短期区间预测

李芬, 孙凌, 王亚维, 屈爱芳, 梅念, 赵晋斌

Short-Term Interval Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Based on CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM and SVR

LI Fen, SUN Ling, WANG Yawei, QU Aifang, MEI Nian, ZHAO Jinbin

表4 点预测结果性能对比

Tab.4 Comparison of point prediction performance

天气 CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM 和SVR EMD-GSA-LSTM EMD-GSA-SVR XGBoost-RC CNN-LSTM eS/% eN/% eS/% eN/% eS/% eN/% eS/% eN/% eS/% eN/% 晴天 22.8 3.7 29.6 5.0 38.6 9.1 30.1 4.5 24.2 9.1 转折 40.0 9.1 61.8 16.0 64.1 22.2 47.1 21.2 55.4 10.1 阴雨 48.5 14.6 78.4 40.3 63.0 26.2 54.7 32.5 50.7 19.6