基于CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM和SVR的光伏功率短期区间预测
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李芬, 孙凌, 王亚维, 屈爱芳, 梅念, 赵晋斌
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Short-Term Interval Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Based on CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM and SVR
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LI Fen, SUN Ling, WANG Yawei, QU Aifang, MEI Nian, ZHAO Jinbin
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表3 随机分量预测性能对比
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Tab.3 Comparison of prediction performance of random components
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| 天气 | 分量 | GSA-SVR | | LSTM | | BP | | SVR | | eS/% | eN/% | eS/% | eN/% | eS/% | eN/% | eS/% | eN/% | | 晴天 | HIMF4 | 25.7 | 7.1 | | 39.0 | 10.5 | | 42.3 | 10.0 | | 36.2 | 9.2 | | 晴天 | HIMF5 | 24.3 | 6.8 | | 38.7 | 10.7 | | 37.0 | 9.6 | | 27.9 | 9.8 | | 晴天 | HIMF6 | 22.4 | 5.6 | | 32.2 | 8.8 | | 31.1 | 8.4 | | 30.2 | 8.0 | | 转折 | HIMF4 | 60.0 | 17.5 | | 75.4 | 34.7 | | 86.3 | 35.4 | | 67.8 | 22.3 | | 转折 | HIMF5 | 57.1 | 20.3 | | 69.7 | 32.8 | | 83.3 | 34.9 | | 62.4 | 24.6 | | 转折 | HIMF6 | 50.9 | 15.4 | | 75.2 | 30.9 | | 75.1 | 31.6 | | 55.3 | 18.7 | | 阴雨 | HIMF4 | 62.4 | 20.5 | | 87.3 | 42.4 | | 99.9 | 45.4 | | 69.4 | 22.9 | | 阴雨 | HIMF5 | 56.2 | 19.6 | | 89.0 | 40.0 | | 97.1 | 41.0 | | 64.4 | 27.1 | | 阴雨 | HIMF6 | 54.8 | 18.7 | | 83.5 | 34.9 | | 89.0 | 35.7 | | 59.9 | 21.0 |
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