基于CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM和SVR的光伏功率短期区间预测
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李芬, 孙凌, 王亚维, 屈爱芳, 梅念, 赵晋斌
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Short-Term Interval Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Based on CEEMDAN-GSA-LSTM and SVR
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LI Fen, SUN Ling, WANG Yawei, QU Aifang, MEI Nian, ZHAO Jinbin
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表2 时序分量预测性能对比
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Tab.2 Comparison of prediction performance of time series components
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| 天气 | 分量 | GSA-LSTM | | LSTM | | BP | | SVR | | eS/% | eN/% | eS/% | eN/% | eS/% | eN/% | eS/% | eN/% | | 晴天 | HIMF1 | 20.3 | 3.7 | | 27.5 | 4.8 | | 54.4 | 15.0 | | 50.5 | 13.2 | | 晴天 | HIMF2 | 21.4 | 3.5 | | 26.3 | 5.2 | | 52.3 | 14.3 | | 49.4 | 14.5 | | 晴天 | HIMF3 | 18.7 | 2.6 | | 21.9 | 3.7 | | 47.2 | 12.1 | | 48.8 | 13.6 | | 晴天 | HIMF7 | 18.2 | 2.1 | | 19.9 | 3.6 | | 48.1 | 9.9 | | 41.0 | 10.3 | | 转折 | HIMF1 | 47.0 | 10.1 | | 59.5 | 14.7 | | 94.4 | 44.2 | | 89.2 | 42.7 | | 转折 | HIMF2 | 39.2 | 9.7 | | 60.3 | 15.6 | | 94.6 | 43.1 | | 87.6 | 42.0 | | 转折 | HIMF3 | 35.4 | 6.4 | | 52.0 | 12.3 | | 88.7 | 38.5 | | 88.7 | 36.3 | | 转折 | HIMF7 | 29.1 | 5.5 | | 52.3 | 13.3 | | 83.3 | 40.3 | | 82.1 | 36.9 | | 阴雨 | HIMF1 | 45.5 | 13.2 | | 70.6 | 44.0 | | 110.5 | 55.5 | | 100.3 | 57.2 | | 阴雨 | HIMF2 | 40.3 | 12.1 | | 65.5 | 42.5 | | 103.2 | 52.4 | | 97.0 | 51.4 | | 阴雨 | HIMF3 | 41.2 | 10.1 | | 71.3 | 35.4 | | 99.9 | 43.6 | | 92.3 | 40.2 | | 阴雨 | HIMF7 | 38.9 | 7.8 | | 62.2 | 32.1 | | 101.2 | 44.2 | | 90.1 | 41.1 |
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