新能源电力系统中的分布式光伏净负荷预测

廖启术, 胡维昊, 曹迪, 黄琦, 陈哲

Distributed Photovoltaic Net Load Forecasting in New Energy Power Systems

LIAO Qishu, HU Weihao, CAO Di, HUANG Qi, CHEN Zhe

表2 点预测结果

Tab.2 Spot forecasting results

方法 夏季 冬季 RMSE MAE NRMSD RMSE MAE NRMSD BPN 35.740 21.185 0.1109 41.267 29.484 0.1369 QR 33.522 21.751 0.1040 39.462 25.219 0.1309 SGP 31.490 21.047 0.0977 34.702 24.657 0.1151 SVR 31.424 20.804 0.0975 35.929 25.718 0.1192 LR 31.044 22.411 0.0963 36.272 27.598 0.1203 HMCDGP 28.124 19.014 0.0872 33.950 24.646 0.1126