一种新型天气分型方法及其在光伏功率预测中的应用

李芬, 周尔畅, 孙改平, 白永清, 童力, 刘邦银, 赵晋斌

A Novel Weather Classification Method and Its Application in Photovoltaic Power Prediction

LI Fen, ZHOU Erchang, SUN Gaiping, BAI Yongqing, TONG Li, LIU Bangyin, ZHAO Jinbin

表4 不同斜面辐射模型预测结果

Tab.4 Results of different models of solar radiation on tilted surfaces

模型 天气类型1 天气类型2 天气类型3 天气类型4 MAPE/% NRMSE/% MAPE/% NRMSE/% MAPE/% NRMSE/% MAPE/% NRMSE/% Perez 24.87 36.32 23.32 29.95 38.28 52.57 52.68 88.86 Hay 27.73 39.95 26.23 33.62 38.20 52.67 52.51 88.71 Reindl 27.64 39.88 26.03 33.49 38.16 52.55 52.38 88.59 Klucher 27.55 39.24 25.90 33.06 43.16 55.78 59.49 89.50 Liu & Jordan 25.05 36.48 23.54 30.07 37.14 51.08 20.72 32.91